• Carpenter C, Dobkin C. The Minimum Legal Drinking Age and Crime. The review of economics and statistics. 2015 May;97(2). 521-524. PMID: 26120205 [PubMed]. PMCID: PMC4477871. NIHMSID: NIHMS685673.


We use variation from the minimum legal drinking age to estimate the causal effect of access to alcohol on crime. Using a census of arrests in California and a regression discontinuity design, we find that individuals just over age 21 are 5.9% more likely to be arrested than individuals just under 21. This increase is mostly due to assaults, alcohol-related offenses, and nuisance crimes. These results suggest that policies that restrict access to alcohol have the potential to substantially reduce crime.